Prices & value

The best time to sell your old phone (and the worst)

A phone loses most of its value on four or five specific dates, and you can see all of them coming.

Illustration of a falling price line stepping down around phone launch dates

Value falls in steps, not a slope

People imagine depreciation as a smooth downward line. It is not. A used phone holds a fairly stable price for weeks, then drops sharply on a date set by somebody else — usually a manufacturer's launch event.

The reason is supply. The moment a successor is announced, two things happen at once: owners of the current model start selling, and buyers of used phones start waiting. More sellers and fewer buyers in the same week is exactly the shape of a price cliff.

This is why the practical advice is unromantic: if you already know you are upgrading, sell before the launch you are upgrading to.

The launch calendar that actually moves Indian prices

WindowWhat launchesWhat it does to used prices
SeptemberNew iPhone familySharp drop across the previous two iPhone generations
January–FebruarySamsung Galaxy S seriesDrop on the outgoing S flagship, smaller on A series
Mid-yearPixel A series, OnePlus mid-rangeModerate drop in the ₹20–35k band
Festive season (Oct–Nov)Nothing new, but heavy discounting on new phonesUsed mid-range demand rises; flagship demand flat

If your phone belongs to a family with a predictable annual event, that event is your deadline. An iPhone sold in the first week of August and the same iPhone sold in the last week of September are not the same asset.

The 11-month rule

Almost every price book in India has an age band for phones under a year old, and it is the most valuable band there is. It is also the only one that expires on a date you can read off your invoice.

If your bill is ten or eleven months old and you are already thinking about upgrading, do the quote now. Crossing twelve months moves you into the next band regardless of how the phone looks. Nothing about the handset changed; the invoice did.

When waiting is the right call

There are two situations where holding is sensible. The first is a phone you are still using as your daily driver with no replacement in hand — a quote is worth nothing if you have to buy an interim phone to realise it.

The second is a genuinely scarce model in good condition: compact flagships, the last of a discontinued line, or a variant that was never sold in volume here. Those hold value against the calendar rather than with it.

Everything else depreciates every week it sits in a drawer. We put numbers on that in phone depreciation in India, explained.

A simple decision rule

  1. Check when the successor to your phone is expected. If it is within two months, sell now.
  2. Check your invoice date. If you are inside eleven months, sell before month twelve.
  3. Check whether you have a replacement ready. If not, the quote is theoretical.
  4. If none of the above applies, sell the moment you stop using it daily — a spare phone in a drawer is a depreciating asset that helps nobody.

Frequently asked questions

Should I sell before or after a new iPhone launch?
Before. Prices for the outgoing generation typically fall in the weeks around a September launch as supply of used units rises. Selling four to six weeks ahead of the event usually captures the higher band.
Does festive season increase what I get for my old phone?
For mid-range handsets, modestly — more people are buying used and refurbished phones as gifts and second devices. For flagships the effect is smaller, and it is often outweighed by the depreciation of waiting for it.
My phone is 11 months old. Is it worth rushing?
If you have the original bill, yes. The under-12-month band is usually the biggest single age adjustment in the table, and it lapses on the date on your invoice.
Is there a bad time of year to sell?
The weeks immediately after a major launch in your phone's own family are the worst. Prices have already reset downward and the market is full of identical handsets.